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| The Moscow Kremlin (Wikipedia) |
Kimmo Huosionmaa
Some cyber companies have claimed, that maybe Russia is going to attack to Ukraine, and this is the very alarming situation. Not only for Europe because that can make the world very unstable place. The problem for Russian military is that it has a very low number of men because it must same time defend rest of its borders if that State would begin the war in Europe.
There is a chance that somebody would attack to the back of Russians, and that might cause the very difficult situation for those troops, and if the situation turns to full-scale warfare, would it cause that Russians or some other nation would attack with nuclear weapons in the opponent's area. That is very problematic in the relationship with Russians, who are wanted to see themselves as the beneficiaries of the Soviet Union, and this is the reason, why that nation attracts some left-wing political activists, who see Putin as the representer of the "old school socialism".
This makes Russia so strong in information warfare. They would always claim, that in that land things are better than anywhere else. And of course, Russian gas company Gazprom has always something to give, if other states want to be friends with Russians. The solution to every problem is the strong and masculine army, what is the great tool in the hands of Kremlin, and of course, the power of the nuclear weapons is very confessing, and it guarantees that Kremlin's way to see things is in the prime role in media. And then there would be news, where the Russian military would win NATO in 15 seconds, what purpose is to support nationalists around Europe.
The main purpose of that kind of news and information is to scatter European Union, and at the same time would there be given many advise, how to handle foreign and refugees. That would be a good reason to hire more police and military men, and of course, at the same time would be delivering the information, that EU would cause next conflict between Russia and NATO. And the best opportunity to avoid conflict with that nuclear-armed superpower would be separating from EU. This would guarantee, that Russia would not start aggression against those states, what is heard the wise men of Kremlin.
Of course, the situation, where some state would left alone, would make opportunity for Kremlin start the aggression. The policy, what Russia uses in EU is scratch and rule those states. And at the same time, skinheads and Neo-nazis would play the role that they are taken support from Kremlin, and if those persons would start violent actions against Russian citizen, would it cause the reason, that Russian military would come to protect its citizens, and then the Russian military would start the occupation in that area. This would be a good reason, be reasonable, but as we know that reasonable men would not go to war, and they would not become legends, and that's why we might not be reasonable. Or would Finland be an even independent state, if this country were led by reasonable men in 1939, when the Soviet Union started the conflict, what is known as the "Winter War"?
The wall of Europe would seem very good in the eyes of nationalists, but there is only one problem. Behind that wall would the enemy start to grow, and that would cause the similar situation, what the Wall of Hardianus caused to the Roman empire. That thing caused the situation, where legions couldn't destroy the enemies of the Rome, and they were grown bigger and stronger than that empire. This is the reason, why European wall would not be the suitable solution for the long period use.
For the stable solution must those nations, where refugees are coming make restless. And the democracy is one road for stable peace, but of course, there always be some persons, who want to make terror attacks and other violent actions. That kind of persons are known as terrorists, and they would not want to go to jail. Or sometimes their actions have caused very much pain for local people, and that makes them very hated. That means they have no other change than fight or die because they would not have future in anywhere. And those persons are the most dangerous enemies.
Sources:
https://avoimenkoodinmaailma.blogspot.fi/
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