There is a rumor that Russia would plan to attack to Ukraine

The Moscow Kremlin
(Wikipedia)

Kimmo Huosionmaa

Some cyber companies have claimed, that maybe Russia is going to attack to Ukraine, and this is the very alarming situation. Not only for Europe because that can make the world very unstable place. The problem for Russian military is that it has a very low number of men because it must same time defend rest of its borders if that State would begin the war in Europe.


There is a chance that somebody would attack to the back of Russians, and that might cause the very difficult situation for those troops, and if the situation turns to full-scale warfare, would it cause that Russians or some other nation would attack with nuclear weapons in the opponent's area. That is very problematic in the relationship with Russians, who are wanted to see themselves as the beneficiaries of the Soviet Union, and this is the reason, why that nation attracts some left-wing political activists, who see Putin as the representer of the "old school socialism".


This makes Russia so strong in information warfare. They would always claim, that in that land things are better than anywhere else. And of course, Russian gas company Gazprom has always something to give, if other states want to be friends with Russians. The solution to every problem is the strong and masculine army, what is the great tool in the hands of Kremlin, and of course, the power of the nuclear weapons is very confessing, and it guarantees that Kremlin's way to see things is in the prime role in media. And then there would be news, where the Russian military would win NATO in 15 seconds, what purpose is to support nationalists around Europe.


The main purpose of that kind of news and information is to scatter European Union, and at the same time would there be given many advise, how to handle foreign and refugees. That would be a good reason to hire more police and military men, and of course, at the same time would be delivering the information, that EU would cause next conflict between Russia and NATO. And the best opportunity to avoid conflict with that nuclear-armed superpower would be separating from EU. This would guarantee, that Russia would not start aggression against those states, what is heard the wise men of Kremlin.


Of course, the situation, where some state would left alone, would make opportunity for Kremlin start the aggression. The policy, what Russia uses in EU is scratch and rule those states. And at the same time, skinheads and Neo-nazis would play the role that they are taken support from Kremlin, and if those persons would start violent actions against Russian citizen, would it cause the reason, that Russian military would come to protect its citizens, and then the Russian military would start the occupation  in that area. This would be a good reason, be reasonable, but as we know that reasonable men would not go to war, and they would not become legends, and that's why we might not be reasonable.  Or would Finland be an even independent state, if this country were led by reasonable men in 1939, when the Soviet Union started the conflict, what is known as the "Winter War"?


The wall of Europe would seem very good in the eyes of nationalists, but there is only one problem. Behind that wall would the enemy start to grow, and that would cause the similar situation, what the Wall of Hardianus caused to the Roman empire. That thing caused the situation, where legions couldn't destroy the enemies of the Rome, and they were grown bigger and stronger than that empire. This is the reason, why European wall would not be the suitable solution for the long period use.


For the stable solution must those nations, where refugees are coming make restless. And the democracy is one road for stable peace, but of course, there always be some persons, who want to make terror attacks and other violent actions. That kind of persons are known as terrorists, and they would not want to go to jail. Or sometimes their actions have caused very much pain for local people, and that makes them very hated. That means they have no other change than fight or die because they would not have future in anywhere. And those persons are the most dangerous enemies.

Sources:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-cyber-routers-ukraine/cyber-firms-warn-on-suspected-russian-plan-to-attack-ukraine-idUSKCN1IO1U9

https://avoimenkoodinmaailma.blogspot.fi/

What is so special with Russian relationship with nuclear weapons?

https://avoimenkoodinmaailma.blogspot.fi/p/what-is-so-special-with-russian.html

Kimmo Huosionmaa

We always read stories about Russian new nuclear weapons, and of course, we must notice, that Russian military forces have the very strong relationship with those weapons. Nuclear weapons give attention to every nation, what have those weapons, and they are the good shield for every state. And at the same time, we might wonder, why Russian government doesn't even try to introduce a single defensive nuclear weapon?


Of course we can say, that offensive attack against enemy military forces is the best defense, but then we must consider, that attacking against other nations is always against international law, and making that with high power nuclear weapons causes very much suffering and pain in targeted states, where millions of people would die in those attacks. But why Russia always develops that kind of weapons, what uses megaton size nuclear warheads?



One of the reasons for that is sometimes mentioned, that Russian conventional strike capacity is not so good that NATO has. There are own problems with making GPS-guided bombs and missiles, what allows airplanes to close the target in free angle, and that satellite-guided ammunition is "fire and forgets"-type munitions. Same way some of the equipment of Russian military are very old, and there might be problems in their tolerance. I mean that any nuclear reactor is not outlasted forever.


But there could be more problems in the military technology, what is not mentioned. The Russian military has problems to get computer programs and electronic components, what is needed for high-tech military systems like drones. And the attitudes of the old fashion generals and admirals makes problematic to make new kind of intelligent military technology in the hands of the Russian military. Those generals believe the power of tanks and artillery, with massive firepower. The result of that is seen in Syria, where Russian bombardment destroyed over 80% of infrastructure. That bombardment was effective against the infrastructure of targeted cities, but the destruction was very massive. And the use of firepower was similar as in Grozny, where the use of massive firepower caused more damages than any terrorist organization could ever make.


This is the problem with the Russian military. When they would destroy entire cities, they would not able to take DNA and other samples from ruins, what would help to track terrorists, and maybe some members of terrorist organizations could slip off those areas claiming that they were dead. But this is only thinking about problems about using massive firepower in the urban area. And maybe some Nazis could slip off the Berlin because they were claimed that they were dead.


Maybe some of them would ever found because their bodies were exploded in pieces in the bombardment of Red Army artillery.  The main problem of the Russian military is the very huge size of that country, and this has maybe caused that many wars have been canceled for that reason. In Russia is about 146 million people, that means there is very small population if that is compiling with the size of that country. And that nation has many neighbors, what of course wants to take part of Russian natural wealthiness like oil and metals. This means that if the Russian military would go in the full-scale operations in Europe, some other country could seize this hypothetical situation and attack against Russia, would that state need nuclear weapons for protecting itself.


The Russian military has the problem, that if some man fights in the European area, that same man cannot protect Russian borders in the Far East. And that is, of course, the very good break for military operations in European territory. And we must know that Russia is the nation with nuclear weapons, and we must live with that thing. There is also very much natural resources like gas, what Russia wants to sell to the West, and that makes the relationship with that nation very complicated, and many political leaders wants to forget the situation in Ukraine, because that makes problematic to buy gas from Russia, and if the Russian gas would be used in European power plants, gives that  possibility for Russia to blackmail European countries, by cutting gas deliveries, if some nations policy doesn't please Russian leaders. This means that if some leaders of European Union talks against Russia, would the pressure in the gas tube decreased, and that would be the good method for controlling the economy in another country by using the non-violent method.


The reason for decreasing gas-pressure could be explained as the service of the gas tube. And that would be one method to give pressure for European countries to understand that Russia is the superpower and other nations should understand that. And nuclear weapons are very big status in International politics and good shield against military aggression against that nation. They would raise the tolerance limit for Russian actions extreme high, and for the same reason, many other nations have to get those weapons because they are giving better position in the international field of diplomatic talking.

https://avoimenkoodinmaailma.blogspot.fi/p/what-is-so-special-with-russian.html

Thinking about the danger, what the alien can cause to human race

Artists impression of alien spacecraft
(Image from YouTube)

Kimmo Huosionmaa

The scientists found two exoplanets from another star system, and this will bring the change to find extraterrestrial life closer than ever before. The problem with the scientist is that they must proof everything, what they say. Philosophers should not prove anything so this is the philosophical text about the aliens and their relationship to the human being.  The problem with the extraterrestrial life form is, that life form might be dangerous for the mankind and all of our civilization.


We might face two kinds of aliens, the intelligent life form, what as higher technological level than we have, or we might face the bacteria or viruses, what will be even more lethal than the intelligent aliens might be. The bacteria or the viruses might be the biological weapons, what the aliens use when they want to change our planet for suitable for their invasion. Or they can deliver spontaneously by some ice meteorite, what have been traveled from another star system.


In the deep space is not radiation and the temperature is not over absolute zero points. In this temperature, the molecules oscillation will end, and that´s the reason why organisms are not getting older. And if the ice bite is big enough, the bacteria or some other bugs might survive from the heat of the atmosphere, and then the epidemic will begin. In this kind of scenario is same for us, is this ice bite made for the purpose or is it deliver from the planet, what might lose it hemisphere to space. In this scenario, the planet what surface is covered by the ocean will hit by the asteroid, what will throw the massive bites of ice into space.

If the ice bites will be cooled fast enough and they will fall into space in the shadow of the planet, there might be some bacteria or bugs, what will survive of this catastrophic situation. The shadow of the planet might cover those ice bites from the radiation of the central star, and then the bacteria might deliver to the base. But if the hypothetical aliens wanted to colonize our planet, they would need to deliver viruses or bacteria, to destroy our own biomass, because if they will land in our planet without preparation, they will die for an attack of our bacteria. So in this scenario, the humanoids will deliver the virus to our hemisphere to change our organisms to the same kind of, what is found on their own planet. If they don´t do that action, they must wear the bio-protective suit on this planet.


But if somebody thinks that SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence) is safe, that person has the very limited way to think. If we think about extraterrestrial intelligence, we don´t know is there an alien, who is observing us. In the real life, we can´t be sure is there an intelligent life, even if the Fermi paradox gives us the signal that there is nobody in the universe. If the humanoids think the same way of the things, what we do they will observe this civilization very carefully before they make their decisions, what to do with us. And of course, they will not know anything about us. And if they will travel here with the spaceship what have been traveled in the universe even the centuries, they might be very careful before they make the decision of the landing on our planet.

But they can bring very strong advantages to our technology, and science and that´s why we might hope that those aliens would be friendly for us, and give their highest technology to us. In some scenarios, the superpowers will shoot the humanoid spaceship down, but this will be very risky because if we are hostile to them, they might attack against Earth. And we don´t know what is their relationship to the violence. They might be civilization, what will revenge this kind of actions with some kind of death star, and in this case that will cause the end of the world, if we can´t use nuclear warheads against that spacecraft. Then we should hope, that this ship doesn't get time for sending the alarm-message, what will bring their other spaceships to our solar system.

https://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-telescope-reveals-largest-batch-of-earth-size-habitable-zone-planets-around