Showing posts with label election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label election. Show all posts
Sunday, July 15, 2018
Who takes a part in other countries internal politics?
http://kirjabloggaus.blogspot.com/2018/07/who-takes-part-in-other-countries.html
Kimmo Huosionmaa
The great point of meeting between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump is closing, and here is one very interesting notification about this meeting, and about criticising those leaders. The thing is, that Trump is prosecuted by taking a part in the United Kingdoms internal politics because he said something about it. But meanwhile, the Russian military personnel are charged with hacking the computers in the election process of the United States president.
And this is a very bad thing because hacking of those computers can influent the result of the election. This is the very interesting thing because if some intelligence service would want to influent the election of other states leaders, that is taking part in internal politics of that country. When we are talking about how those leaders would be dealing with media, we are noticing that is a difference about attitudes, what is tolerated by those leaders. Everything, what Putin makes is right, but when Trump says something, he makes everything wrong.
There is something that makes Russian intelligence operations more acceptable than United States intelligence operations. And I must say that this is the very interesting attitude. By the way, the term "intelligence operation" means actually the getting information. The hacking of the computers and influence the internal politics of some other land is "covert action", or "Black Operation". And when we are thinking about the situation, that Russian intelligence officers have made the influential action in the election campaign, that would happen by order of Kreml or somebody else, and this kind of actions can be marked that every connection to the head of the state would deny.
That means that the persons, who might be behind that action are covered. Maybe Putin knew that or maybe he didn't know about those hackings. But there are also other people, who might claim that Putin was involved because that would slow the investigations. This hacking brought some thoughts to my mind. One of them is "how many times this has made before?". I think that those persons, who are behind that operation might not be first-timers for making that kind of things. And how many times that kind of influence has been given to the election campaigns in the small countries, what would not be so loudly to protect their benefits? So is there other nations, where is made this kind of hacking operations, where the election of the head of the state has been influenced by cyber operations, what are made by the foreign actor?
One part of information operations is that the enemy would tell that the resistance would be doomed even before the war have begun. The opponent is trying to metalize the targeted nations, that they would not have any change in the real military conflict. And after that, the "wise men" would lay down their weapons and start to take a spoon in their beautiful hand, and start to follow the opponent's orders. There is one thing that information warfare specialists always highlight. That is that "why own military personnel must risk their lives for some other country?". The purpose of this kind of argumentation is to break coalitions and for this kind of action, the single parts of the coalition would give the benefits like free trade contracts if they slip off the front. Fear is one of the best weapons in the word. And if another side would be doomed to lose, that would give change to grow the own position in the international area.
Friday, January 19, 2018
Why the president, who is in office is always so popular in Gallup-polls?
Picture 1
Kimmo Huosionmaa
There are always polls before some important elections, and those methods to collect the people's opinions about the candidates is a very common way to predict who will be elected to the presidential position of some country. Always the maker of those interviews faces the situation, where the president who is already in the office is the most popular person in the election campaigns.
And just behind this person is always some person who has been in publicity very often. What is the reason for this kind of behavior, is the quite interesting question. The polls will prefer the persons who are well known because those names what are common in the publicity, will come first in the mind of the people, who give answers to the interviewers. That will give very much popularity to the person, who already is in the position of the president.
That phenomenon always trowels, when other candidates would get their opinions to the public mind. When other candidates will get publicity and their opinions will meet more people, their popularity will start to increase, because their names would become in the mind of the people. We must also know that survey -investigations are not the same than election campaigns. There will the people give some answers even without thinking about what they are talking.
And this is the reason, why we must stop talking about depending on telephone-surveys and real elections. When we are talking about the polls, we might start to talk about the "survey-elections". The mistakes of those investigation methods can be very big because the introductions can be targeted to the persons, who will probably support the sitting president. Those groups are the officers and the members of the presidential party.
That might give false results for the Gallup-makers. When those polls will be targeted to those groups, what might give the wrong results, that distortion might cause the situation, where newspapers and other public media will start to give extra publicity for some presidential candidate, because they want to have better positions in the next period of this person's presidency. That means little bit better places on the presidential press conferences and more interesting news in the newspapers. And those might be the reason, why those polls are distorted by in purpose.
Sources
Picture 1
https://www.thenation.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/wall-street-raging-bull-rtr-img.jpg
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