Why the president, who is in office is always so popular in Gallup-polls?

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Kimmo Huosionmaa

There are always polls before some important elections, and those methods to collect the people's opinions about the candidates is a very common way to predict who will be elected to the presidential position of some country. Always the maker of those interviews faces the situation, where the president who is already in the office is the most popular person in the election campaigns.


And just behind this person is always some person who has been in publicity very often.  What is the reason for this kind of behavior, is the quite interesting question. The polls will prefer the persons who are well known because those names what are common in the publicity, will come first in the mind of the people, who give answers to the interviewers. That will give very much popularity to the person, who already is in the position of the president.


That phenomenon always trowels, when other candidates would get their opinions to the public mind. When other candidates will get publicity and their opinions will meet more people, their popularity will start to increase, because their names would become in the mind of the people. We must also know that survey -investigations are not the same than election campaigns. There will the people give some answers even without thinking about what they are talking.


And this is the reason, why we must stop talking about depending on telephone-surveys and real elections. When we are talking about the polls, we might start to talk about the "survey-elections". The mistakes of those investigation methods can be very big because the introductions can be targeted to the persons, who will probably support the sitting president. Those groups are the officers and the members of the presidential party.


That might give false results for the Gallup-makers. When those polls will be targeted to those groups, what might give the wrong results, that distortion might cause the situation, where newspapers and other public media will start to give extra publicity for some presidential candidate, because they want to have better positions in the next period of this person's presidency. That means little bit better places on the presidential press conferences and more interesting news in the newspapers. And those might be the reason, why those polls are distorted by in purpose.

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First chargers have been risen in Trump Case

Kimmo Huosionmaa

If some democratic states president will get charges of misuse his power it is a very serious thing, and even if the president of the United States of America Donald Trump will not in the chair of prosecuted in the court hall, this case is very serious for this man and his closest people. Those prosecutions are involving the thing, what means real troubles to Donald Trump. That is taken cash from Russia, and that's why FBI started to investigate those rumors. And after that Donald Trump made the worst mistake what a man can make.


He suspended those investigators, and after that, he made a crime, what is called exploitation of position. And another crime is disturbing a criminal investigation. Those crimes are very serious, and if Trump will proof as a guilty, he will lose his position. And if he took a money from Russian government he might get charges for spying and treason of the state. Those crimes are much more serious, what Bill Clinton made when he was on charges of sexual harassment. Even Richard Nixon was not in charge of spying for another state. He just ordered secret service for eavesdrop his competitor.  People don't seem to understand, spying and making a treason of state are very serious charges even for normal people.


But if the president is in charge of that kind of crimes, he will be in very bad trouble. That kind of prosecutions are not anything, what can rise easily, even if they are targeted to normal people, but even if somebody claims that the president made those crimes, and some authorities started to investigate those things, they must have very strong evidence even for investigations. The worst mistake what Trump made, was starting to kick off investigators in that case. And that action made people think that those rumors of some secret contracts between presidents Putin and Trump might have the real background.


Question is that, did president Donald Trump really know himself about that support, what came from Moscow or did those campaign members work alone? And what kind of support Trump's campaign got from Russia? Was it a money or did those Russian fellows give his campaign also technical advisings like "how to build interesting homepages" and pieces of advice how media operations must be done, that they have the greatest effect possible on the people mind. So if Trump took that kind of help from another country and the prosecutors can prove that, will be in a very bad situation.