Dirty business can destroy entire firm

Mister X
(Picture 1)

Kimmo Huosionmaa

Statistics are the memory of the company. They will tell many things about how good business is the company make. And if the selling would decrease, the reason for that must find out, because this kind of things will cause the collapse of the corporation. If the incoming money flow will decrease when the certain worker came in the house, that person would cause the collapse of the company. That means that the situation must be investigated, and if the decrease of selling will happen always when the certain person comes to the workplace, would that be only coincidence. But if this happens all places, where this person has been working, the question will be not about coincidence. That means this person is not suitable for the job, or the thing is about professional provocateur, who would try to drive the business down on purpose.


The economical environment is basically the same kind of structure like some Facebook-community. If we will draw the model of that structure, it will look like some kind of spider net, where we can find the centers. With using this knowledge, we could build a computer program, what will find the center or central persons in that structure. The idea of this program is that it will compile the buying and sell actions in the marketing environment. The data will uncover the persons, who first will buy or sell the part of some target. One time might be coincidence, but if the same action happens simultaneous, there must be some reason for that.


If some person is always first, but when this person makes the movements in the market environment, and this action causes a large number of actions in stock marketing, there will be something special in that person. So this person is so called control in the environment, and there is a reason, why everybody is following this person. There must be something in this person's personal history or in the training of the person because other investments will follow this particular thing. The idea of this system is, that the data of marketing happenings will be collected to the database and if some selling happening follows the mass selling or buying, this doesn't necessarily mean anything.


But if this happens simultaneously, and always some persons would make millions of euros profits there would be the question of inner circle marketing. Of course, that doesn't necessarily happen very often, but if some investor makes always millions of euros profits and this person never loses money, it would mean that this person would get some information before other investors. And in this case, the selling of some stocks might be the mark for another person to start the operation.


In this scenario "Mr. Smith" will give the mark to other investors if the company will make extra money, by buying some stocks just before the stock market will be closed. This person could be some bookkeeper or auditor, who has access to the financial reports of that company. If this person would give the information, is the investment profitable by one day before the reports would be published for the friends of this person, they would make very good profits.


And this is strictly prohibited. If the telephones or emails were used, that would be uncovered the operation, and those persons would go to the "Blacklist" of the stock-markets  So there must be the mark, that will start to make business. And it could be that somebody sells or buys those stocks. The statistics would uncover this kind of thing, and then the officials would start the investigations if somebody makes only profits in that environment.

Sources
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https://contentadvisory.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/shutterstock_534112075.jpg

The science of statistics can help to find criminals

Kimmo Huosionmaa

https://sites.google.com/view/statisticsandcrimes/etusivu

The use of statistics makes possible to control risks in the normal life. The collected data can be used to locate the risk drivers, dangerous crossroads, and many more things. Statistics will not necessary mean numerical information. If somebody is too hard on driving test, that would be seen by statistics. And if somebody is too allowed in that driving test, that would be seen in statistics, because this person’s driver candidates makes many accidents in compiling with other drivers. This separation is seen clearly after a couple of years driving. If somebody, who really drives the car, would not make any errors in the driving, it will cause the suspicion about the driving test. That data is collected from insurance companies databases, and also the governmental databases like speeding ticket databases are used.


Was it failed for fun or some other personal reasons? Also if the person would not drive the car after driving test, will deleting the car tell, the thing that this person affairs of driving. Same way acts the data if some person has always broken the car. That means this person might be targeted by systematical harassment.


Same way uncovers the harassment in the working site. The thing what uncovers that is the person, who will very often change the workplace. That tells that everything is not like it should be. They also can mean the location information. That information would be effective when officials are tracking drug sellers. In this case the places, where the narcotics user’s equipment are founded, that place must be marked on the map carefully, because that information can be important when dealers are tracked.


The statistics are the very effective thing when criminals are tracked. Those systems will compile the information if somebody has got the tickets to the happenings, where something bad would happen.And if some person is simultaneous in the concerts where the places have been broken, or somebody was injured, that will see in those systems  When we are talking about the vandalism and public transportation, we must know that specific collection of the data is not effective way to look for the persons, who might break the bus stops. The database would be very large, and that would make it ineffective.


But the data about the ticket types can be collected, and of course, the number of passengers can also be stored in that system. And maybe there was only one person, who used the single prepaid ticket, and if this person has used credit or bank card, and other users were mature people, this might help to track the person, who has crashed the bus stop. This was not the best example of the use of statistics in the tracking criminals.


Also, military intelligence uses statistics for tracking suspicious persons. The time and number of using fire against single operational unit can be tell something about those men. Or what do you think about the situation, that the operational area of the unit is restless, and when the change-group comes, all area turned as hell? And suddenly when they were leaving, the situation turns back to restless? Seems very interesting thing. Also, the type of used weapons is telling something about both sides of the conflict.


If some part of conflict uses normally assault rifles, but suddenly in one specific case, they will use the sniper rifle, that would that tell that something was wrong with that shooting. If only one person would shoot by the sniper rifle in all operational area like Afghanistan, that killing would be not made by the enemy. This might be a real murder, what will attempt to cover as a military action, and in this case, the investigations might focus on that killed person’s private life. In real life, the statistics tell us if there is something wrong with some family or person. If somebody is in the hospitals emergency every Friday, that means that this person lives very dangerous life. Also if in some family will happen many strange accidents or homicides, that will cause the investigations about those persons.


When some persons face the things, what are like straight from the book “The hound of the Baskerville” that will tell, that somebody is persecuting those people. If the dog simultaneously bites people, that might cause the suspicious that this dog is a fighting dog, what is used in illegal dog fightings. Those animals are extremely dangerous because they are trained to attack other animals and even humans.


The mission is to fight rough and tough, and some of those animals are feed with other dogs flesh. There are also difficulties to separate fighting dogs or killer-dogs from together. They are used to also for guarding the drug houses, and their owners might keep them in hunger because that would make them more aggressive. But if the dogs are attacking against other animals or people in some area, that would tell that there is illegal dog-farm for growing those animals for brutal and inhuman “hobby”, what is prohibited in the law.

What means advanced analytics?

Kimmo Huosionmaa

The modern way to make the analytics about some targets by using the multilevel and solutional methodology for getting any information of the targeted structure. In this text, the word "structure" means the corporation, what is targeted for investments. The used methodology will consist the looking for information from the Internet, but also by visiting the physical environment of the location of the targeted structure headquarters. When we are talking about visiting in that area, I mean what would you think if there will find no headquarters at all?

The use of the structural analyses consists many ways to get information from those organizations and structures. At analysis might use every kind of tools to find out what kind of structure is in this case. And that means that many kinds of sources must be used by getting all information, what might get for making right analyses.


I mean that the Corporation might seem like it does not exist. The methodology would also consist the observation of the bosses of that corporation during the business meetings. If the person is smelling alcohol and seems drunk or under the influence of the narcotics in the work, that would mean that there something wrong in that company. Another sign that everything is not all right is that many persons, who are working for the company seem like alcoholists or some kind of drug users.  And of course, the writings of the corporation is the very good source about the situation in that structure. If there happen very many accidents, something might be wrong. If the archives are full of accidents and investigations about the company, there would be problems with some leading levels of that target.


The educational level of the corporation tells something about the way of working in those structures. And what makes the educations very interesting thing, when the analyst is searching the organization, is that if some leader works with wrong educational level. If some leader of the company claims that he or she has got the university grade of some science, but then there will be no papers, that tells the analyzers the thing, that corporation doesn't ask educations when somebody will be hired.


This might tell about blackmailing what is targeted for some leader, and this might cause the situation, where some unprofessional person might get in the company. Reason for this could also be faked papers from some university. When somebody doesn't have necessary professional skills, the result would be, that this kind of person will not dare to say "no" for some workers. The statistics will tell lots of thing about the working morale in that organization.


One of the best meter for investigators about the morale and spirit of the organization is the level of accidents. If some organization is always under the investigations because of injuries and other accidents that will tell that those persons won't care or they cannot do the things in the right way. And of course, if some company has the reputation, that the persons, who work for it have many times kicked off from the workplace because of drinking alcohol. That will tell something about the policy of that firm. One version of this scenario is that everybody in that firm has criminal registration. But this kind of checks can be made only by the officials.

Simultaneously repeating things show that some things do not happen by accident.

Kimmo Huosionmaa

Probabilities and other things are the most interesting thing, what the mathematicians have ever created in their mind. Probability is the thing, what has caused grey hair for many military leaders and rulers around the world. What is the probability of the thing that meteorite will strike your house? This might be the very important thing for the insurance companies, that make the prices for their insurances.  If the meteorite would be destroyed some house, must the insurance company make the bills for that, and can they sell insurances, what covers the destructions of the meteorite? And will anybody buy those insurances, is the very good question, if those new insurances will come to the marketing.


The calculation about what is the probability that meteorite, what hits the house, if it hits to the Earth is quite simple. The area of the house would division with the area of the Earth, and as we will see, the probability that some particular house will be destroyed by the impact of the meteorite is quite small. But when the insurance companies or police want to find out, is something actually the cause of the probability, they collect the statistics, and that sometimes uncovers some things are made for the purpose. In the things what will happen in the long-period sequence, is sometimes visible that this kind of thing happens simultaneously. Let's take one fictional case, what provides that the archives and statistics show that this kind of things happens on purpose.


This is the key element why the statistics are collected. They will uncover if something is done by the purpose.  One thing is if the person who has been in some mental institute will get the letter from the steward's office, that this person has been noisy. What makes this letter very interesting, is that it comes when this person's family have been in the long holiday. Rest of this person's family had the way, that they would be a long period in the sunshine when they will celebrate their every ten years of the marriage.


And one day some person was realized, that those letters came all the time when this person's family have been at overseas. This kind of things shows, that somebody will make the wailings only when this person's family were on their holiday trip. When those reclamation letters were dropped from the mailbox only when the family of this person was far away, will the simultaneous action, what happens time and again, show the investigator, that there is something wrong in this fictional case.