Kimmo Huosionmaa
Vladimir Putin will continue as the president of Russia if he wants. But that state will change, because that will be the end of something that have stamped all Putin's presidential work. Putin has lost contact with young people, and if he plays a role as an elder and wiser man than another person, he will go far away from young people. People are getting older and they don't want to get back past. The Soviet Union collapsed in 1992 and after that was time of political and economic disaster when societies were unstable.
That caused the rise of Putin, and after drunk Boris Jeltsin, he was better than people could even thin for a ruler of that country. Bad social situation and chaotic nation society will help that kind of man to rise a leader for the country. Those are things what makes people want to get strong leaders, and that is, of course, bad for democracy. But when the situation of state will become calm people begin to want more ways to make the influence of highest level of political control. Putin's idea of his work was that he will put down open corruption and open criminal activities.
But there was silent corruption inside government. Russian laws are very authoritative and that's why the democratic surveillance of government is almost impossible. If newspaper men will write against Kremlin will they will get troubles. But as we see the glove of secret police will slip from society. Russia goes to democracy sooner or later, but we must understand that state ever been real democracy, and that's why bringing democracy to that country will take longer than other East European states.
The reason of changing a political atmosphere in Russia is that people's attitudes are changing. People who saw the Soviet Union are now about 40's and that means at younger people have found new interests than military service. In Putin's time, Russia has been at two wars which didn't go so good as Putin probably hopes. And before those actions against Georgia and Ukraine was Groznyi, what destroyed totally when Russian army attacked against that rebellious city.
Russian own artillery made more damages than any terrorist organization ever could make. And the same style begins in Syria. That's why some people think that Russian military is leaning only for nuclear weapons. Truth is that wars what Putin began went very bad because his military couldn't neutralize any targets without causing massive damages to infrastructure. Putin rose very masculine militarism as a stamp of Russia, but I think that those special forces kickboxing and other aggressive training methods make those troops very unwanted service places for many young people.
They just want to go to the army and came back as normal servicemen around the world. And younger people don't even know what was the Soviet Union. Putin was born in 1952, and he is now 65. So he will be an old man. His career as the president of Russia will over sooner or later, and if some 18 years old young people look, Putin, he will look like the grandpa. And for them will sooner or later time to elect the younger man as the leader of Russia.
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