About situation in Ukraine

7K720 Iskander missile
(NATO SS-26 "Stone")
(Picture 1)

Kimmo Huosionmaa

Vladimir Putin and the situation in Ukraine are not been very often in a stand at public media. Reason for that is there is nothing going on in that place, what is called as the Crimean peninsula. This place is in very important strategic location when we are thinking about a transportation of Caucasian oil and gas by tubes to European markets. If the Caucasian oil and gas will replace Russian products, that would mean the decrease of Russians economic and political influence. And in the real world, that means that Russia cannot cut those deliveries for having political acceptance for other actions. If the nation doesn't use Russian oil and gas, the threat would give only by the military forces. And it looks like bad in the international politics. Open threading by weapons will cause the public opinion turn against Russia.

And there have been ideas of massive United Nations peacekeeping operations in Ukraine, but the reason of Russian military power the passion for this kind of operations is much lower than in Afghanistan and Iraq. Russian nuclear force is the very frightening thing, what will make think twice, if somebody wants to operate in Ukraine with United Nations mandate. Russian interest is that situation in Ukraine will forget as fas as possible. Also, many European countries will want to normalize their relationship with Russian leaders.


If we think that the USA would come in this situation with military forces, we must say, that this scenario is very improbable, because this nation has been in the war since 2001, and that would be not very good for the reputation of that country. The prize of that war is very high, and the operation in Afghanistan and Iraq have cost more than the Second World War. Also, the losses of human lives in those wars have been very high, and the people of USA have tired about the war.


The war between the USA and Russia would be the World War III, what might mean nuclear holocaust, where the big part of the human population will be killed. This is the reason, why the solution to this problem is not able to find the military way. The problem with this crisis is that Russian military has got power to stand in that area, and those troops are highly protected by nuclear weapons, what has installed on highly mobile battlefield systems warships.


Those weapons are extremely difficult to detect, and they have the capacity to destroy the entire city. If those truck-mounted weapons would detect, they are quite easy to destroy by tactical fighters, helicopters or commando-strike. But the detection is the problem. The weapon itself can be destroyed by anti-tank weapons or bombs. If the core of the bomb will be broken, radioactive plutonium will be delivered to the ground.  But of course, nuclear weapons have the very hard defense and strikes can be shielded by the security-fire by the security team. So this makes those weapons extreme difficult targets for military forces. The system goes, that tactical nuclear weapons will be used in the first strike, and those weapons are supported by strategic nuclear weapons And if Russian conventional forces would get in trouble those weapons will be used in this kind of situation.

Sources

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/9K720_Iskander

Picture 1
https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQLGxFjm2f_Q1B794FLy3bk9rbb5tBXSPfDpZFFLlDs_S8lpHxlww